Jump to content

Delpen9

Dedicated Members
  • Posts

    611
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Everything posted by Delpen9

  1. Axilus, you ALWAYS make sense, and give a thorough bounty of evidence and hypothesis with every post, which makes you an understandable target. You make yourself too sane, which can be an asset when not killed, but less so in generality. Your reasoning like I said is thorough, even so to the point that you consider possibilities that I never noticed. In this game, that trait doesn't help me so much as it does enlighten me. All evidence is psychological. If we aren't proficient in psychoanalysis, we can't even rely on probability. If random people are killed, then chances are (67%) that pro-town would win in a 'hanging' battle; but we all know there is more to this conundrum. 67% couldn't be farther than the truth when the night scenes are included. Assuming that all five night scenes consecutively kill a pro-town member, the pro-town is at a technical disadvantage. The game has 1/32% chance of ending in 5 rounds through lynching, by killing off all the mafia in this instance. There are 10 pro-town members and 5 mafia. After 5 rounds, 5 pro-town will be dead and likely 2-3 mafia will be dead. We are left with 2-3 pro-town that will be at a disadvantage, because along with 50% chance of lynching they must endure the night scenes. This gives the pro-town a 25% chance of winning in that predicament, which makes up 31/32% of the scenarios. Overall, that would give pro-town an 8.75/32% chance of winning (so roughly 27%). Don't like those odds? Tough luck. It gets worse. The mafia know who each other are-- We can't forget the simple facts! That boost is incalculable, but I feel that this advantage totally outstrips the advantage given by the detective, mayor, and medic. So how does the pro-town win? You safely stow away the detective into the vaults of secrecy. The catacombs, or the annals of what is and forever shall be. When the detective dies, all that is left is intelligence. Probability has betrayed the pro-town, and so could strategy if we don't embrace it. Lone wolf tactics are impossible (27%), but there is one procedure that could sway the odds. This is a strategy that can't be beaten even if the mafia know it. I'm serious. Anyone care to see it?
  2. Bnus, there is a fault in your planning. You tend to believe what people first tell you, probably processing things through a filter to establish relevance and falsifications. That can be your undoing with new members that attempt to distort your perspective from the get-go. It isn't an easy task, but you can be deceived; unless you learn from this.
  3. Should I reveal the answer and ask another riddle?
  4. Sadly, that is all I can do for now. Hopefully, someday I can have a proper psychometric analysis of you. Your psychosis perturbs me.
  5. Bnus kills people that he sees as a personal threat, which is not determined by their role, but how they play. Then, he targets you based on the importance of your role. Though he puts emphasis on those to categories, they aren't necessarily the first to go. Why? In chronological order the personal threats die first, and minor roles proceed to die. Finally, the major roles are taken out. The latter deaths often occur in tandem with the personal threats category, which can be expected for several reasons. List: Threat--Civilian--charity--Major roles who aren't a threat.Charity are those he wants to allow a fair cushion of time to play, since they are new to the game. (and a bit of randomization) It is hard to determine if the inconsistencies in the chronology of this list are due to the lack of viable evidence to convince others, or his own uncertainty. His uncertainty is counteracted by his dead-set playing style. He doesn't change his stance on a decision and professedly his known outlook on a situation. This allows his uncertainty to decay, which allows his decisions to be based on convincing appeal, such as in Unease's case. In short, he targets people based on the evidence necessary to convince others, and how they will effect him.
  6. I'm not convinced either, but this needs to be done for now. I promise... PM me and I'll use you as an Ally. I have my own reasons for voting to kil you.
  7. Y is u bein' a nerd man?

  8. Do you watch anime?

    1. Show previous comments  1 more
    2. Delpen9

      Delpen9

      Then my sister's your man! Ummm... woman. Well, more like girl.

    3. Delpen9

      Delpen9

      Check out Ouran High School Host Club, Baka and Test, and Fate/Zero. This assuming you use Netflix.

    4. BerriesBoo

      BerriesBoo

      I don't have Netflix. ;_;

  9. Bnus can you give me some reasons why I should believe you are Pro-town? There is no reason to mull over this, because the mafia would know that you're pro-town anyway.
  10. Is that food thing you talked about really that reliable? I didn't think much of it even after you pointed it out, dubbing it a coincidence. What makes you so sure??
  11. All mental work is done in a PM. That's why my decisions seem obscure and eccentric, because you don't get to see the logic behind it. Sikslik may claim that I'm not using logic, but that's simply because I forget what I read while reading it. (I know math you mongrel, and yes, I do read)... Sikslik has been doing a good job. I'm impressed even. (Not the accursed "I" word! Ahhhh!)
  12. I sort of want Tyrone to play longer. This is his first game after all. Yang is trying to get me killed, so no better way to retaliate than by counter-voting. Yang for president! *cough* Yang for lynching! I vote Yang!
  13. The only objection I have is that none of your statements make sense. Perhaps maybe what you said about Axilus, but nothing else.
  14. Bnus you're going to die. I will make you hang!
  15. I'm a crazy guy? I vote Yang Long as the killer. Bnus I fully believe you are a civilian this round. Bnus is the crazy one! I think I might just quit. Bnus, you've soiled all the fun I've been having playing this game. It would be a chore for me to keep playing. I don't want that chopper picture from you, and I despise the YouTube channel.
  16. ....because I'm definitely on the list Yang. Really. If you look hard enough you'll see it in 1/2 size font. It reminds me of the episode of Spongebob where "refunds" is engraved using miniature print into the menu. Going right along, wat???
  17. Nothing new on Bungie's part, as those description have been used time and time again, though not formally summarized like this. It's still refreshing and gives some credence to the Destiny website, which I have avoided for some time.
  18. I ran from the police once, but then I took a bus to the knee.
  19. I once played a video game, but then I got hit by a bus. (GTA) LOL
  20. Doctor please help me. The mafia is going to have me killed first.
×
×
  • Create New...