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@  Yoshi1176 : (03 August 2015 - 05:49 PM) Hey nick
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:29 PM) Once brought down to 1-1, 2-2, 3-3, chance of winning is 50% because of neutral town roles.
@  Self Destruct : (03 August 2015 - 05:27 PM) @Ash < what she said
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:27 PM) or 2 mafians to 1 protownian; or 1-to-1.
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:26 PM) @Self Destruct Probability. Chance of game winning conditions in the form of 3 mafians to 2 pro-townians. Role intracies are not included.
@  Ash : (03 August 2015 - 05:26 PM) I wouldn't call it a freak coincidence ;P
@  Self Destruct : (03 August 2015 - 05:25 PM) I would tell you otherwise, but that would give things away
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:24 PM) 9/15*100% chance = 60% *
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:23 PM) Mafians are overpowered. They have a 66% of winning without including neutral town and varioud roles (Besides mafians having 5 lives and 3 players). Finding EK was a freak coincidence.
@  Self Destruct : (03 August 2015 - 05:23 PM) @Dumpen9 How are you coming up with these calculations
@  Self Destruct : (03 August 2015 - 05:22 PM) There's only 8 people I need to worry about
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:20 PM) Null for 4 turns is equal to two protown lynches*
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:20 PM) Because of Suspect List Recursion.
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:19 PM) Null for 3 turns would be a 50/50 chance of winning.
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:19 PM) Conclusion was: Killing a mafian early is the best possible result; lynching a pro-townian twice in the game is an immediate loss; null is a decent strategy - null for 3 turns is equal to two turns of pro-town lynches.
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:15 PM) and the rules keep getting altered, making it hard.
@  Self Destruct : (03 August 2015 - 05:15 PM) It was too much for me, so I skimmed over it. I had a headache at the time
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:15 PM) TBH, those mafia calculations were too complicated for me. I need a computer to do the work.
@  Dumpen9 : (03 August 2015 - 05:13 PM) @Self Destruct I'm proceeding to the 2nd in my queue.
@  Self Destruct : (03 August 2015 - 05:11 PM) Why Twammy

bioniclepluslotr

Member Since 03 Aug 2011
Offline Last Active Jun 17 2012 08:46 AM

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I play Halo and other shooters.

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